A beautiful Veterans Day is in store for the Bronx, with partly to mostly sunny skies and temperatures climbing to near 60 degrees. Cloud cover will vary throughout the day, but overall conditions will remain pleasant, with light winds and seasonable temperatures. Clouds will increase tonight as our next weather system approaches, with a chance of showers developing overnight.

Thursday will bring a significant change in the forecast as a developing nor’easter moves toward the region. Showers are expected to arrive from the west before becoming more widespread throughout the day.

The heaviest rainfall is expected during the afternoon and evening, particularly between 2 and 8 p.m. Periods of moderate to heavy rain could make for a soggy commute and difficult travel conditions.

Rainfall totals across the Bronx and surrounding communities are expected to range between 1 and 2 inches, with locally higher amounts possible if heavier downpours persist.

Winds will also become increasingly gusty, with gusts generally between 20 and 30 mph and a few stronger gusts potentially approaching 35 mph. The combination of steady rainfall and gusty winds will make Thursday the day to watch most closely.

As the storm gradually moves offshore Thursday night into early Friday morning, colder air will filter into the region. While some higher elevations farther north could experience a brief wintry mix, including freezing rain, sleet or wet snowflakes, the Bronx is expected to see primarily rain from this system.

No accumulating snowfall is expected locally. Rain should gradually taper off as the system pulls away, with conditions improving by Friday evening.

A much colder pattern arrives heading into the weekend. Friday and Saturday will feature daytime temperatures in the 40s, with overnight lows approaching freezing.

Saturday morning should be mainly dry, although a lingering sprinkle or shower cannot be ruled out. Breezy conditions will continue through the weekend, with Sunday bringing some gradual improvement.

Temperatures will begin recovering into the lower 50s heading into next week, although overnight temperatures will remain chilly and generally near freezing at times.