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STORM WATCH: Stormy weather clears out, allowing for flooding to recede

The storm chances are low tomorrow but ramp up again on Wednesday. Will there be more flooding?

Dave Curren

Jul 14, 2025, 10:32 AM

Updated 4 hr ago

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Monday’s storm was one of the more robust non-tropical rain events that I can remember in my 25+ years of forecasting. The amount of rain and significance of flooding mimicked Ida, Irene, and Floyd in some areas.
Now I want to stress, I am not comparing Monday's rain event to any of those catastrophic floods. Other meteorological factors led to the deadly flooding from those tropical systems. This was a stalled thunderstorm that got its energy from a wrinkle in the atmosphere, extremely warm conditions and an atmosphere that was completely inebriated and over the limit with moisture.
Rainfall rates were 1 to 3 inches an hour for three to five hours. Gov. Phil Murphy issued a state of emergency. This will be one for the record books.
The showers are coming to an end and the flood waters will slowly recede. While we aren't looking at too much rain or storminess in tomorrow's forecast, the rain chances do shoot up on Wednesday and then again on Friday.
Because of the serious rain that collected in Union, Middlesex, Somerset and Essex counties, should storms develop in those same areas, then flooding could occur again.
Will it be as bad as we just saw? Probably not. But it won't take too much rain to fray the nerves of the folks that just experienced such consequential flooding.