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Most inheritance dollars from baby boomers expected to go to households with above-median net worth, Visa study says
Most of the trillions of dollars expected to be passed from baby boomers to younger generations over the next two decades will go to households that already have above-median net worth, limiting the boost to consumer spending from the so-called "great wealth transfer," according to a new analysis from Visa Business and Economic Insights.
The report estimates about $36 trillion will be transferred from baby boomers to Generation X and millennial households over the next 20 years. Visa said the estimate is far lower than widely cited projections exceeding $100 trillion because it accounts for retirement spending, debt, taxes, charitable giving and other factors that reduce the amount of wealth ultimately passed to heirs.
About three-quarters of households expected to receive inheritances already have above-median net worth, according to the analysis. As a result, Visa estimates roughly $28 trillion of inherited wealth will be saved or invested, while about $8 trillion will be spent on goods and services over the next 20 years.
The report said the additional spending is expected to have only a modest effect on overall consumer spending because many inheritance recipients already have above-median net worth. However, Visa said some industries could see a more noticeable benefit, including housing, automobiles, travel and retail.
Visa estimates baby boomers currently hold at least $93 trillion in assets. The report said parental assistance with home down payments and multigenerational travel are among the ways the wealth transfer is already shaping consumer behavior.